BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
4-6-0 | Road
1
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
4-5-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 2.09 | 0.913 | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.09
GAA
--
0.913
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
RED WINGS
0%
SABRES
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
BUF By 1 goal
15.8%
BUF By 2-3 goals
15.1%
DET By 1 goal
18.7%
DET By 2-3 goals
22.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2.52
BUFFALO
Detroit
2.86
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Sabres (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 27, 2026
DET @ BUF
5 - 2
Nov 15, 2025
BUF @ DET
5 - 4
Oct 22, 2025
DET @ BUF
2 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
DET @ BUF
2 - 5
Sep 25, 2025
BUF @ DET
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+19.0% more
Detroit: 23.2
vs
Buffalo: 19.5
Takeaways (L5)
+14.7% more
Detroit: 5.5
vs
Buffalo: 4.8
Power Play % (L5)
+10.0%
Detroit: 29.6%
vs
Buffalo: 19.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.2%
Detroit: 50.7%
vs
Buffalo: 47.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.5
1
DET Score
2.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 13.6
16.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
50.7 / 47.5
60.3 / 39.7
Hits
23.2 / 19.5
11.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
29.6 / 19.6
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.9 / 31.2
23.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.8
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
BUF
DET
BUF
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
TTL
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
Alex Ovechkin Announces Final NHL Season: Capitals Legend Set fo…
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets