ORLANDO
MAGICORL
3-2 | Road
109
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
5-0 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
CAVALIERS
100%
MAGIC
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
26.7%
ORL By 8-14 points
18.2%
CLE By 1-7 points
23.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
12.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
108.39
ORLANDO
Cleveland
106.58
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
Cleveland
113
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.8
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
ORL @ CLE
131 - 136
Mar 11, 2026
CLE @ ORL
122 - 128
Jan 26, 2026
ORL @ CLE
98 - 114
Jan 24, 2026
CLE @ ORL
119 - 105
Mar 16, 2025
ORL @ CLE
108 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.3% more
Orlando: 6.9
vs
Cleveland: 4.9
Rebounding (L5)
+8.2% more
Orlando: 43.9
vs
Cleveland: 40.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
Orlando: 78.9%
vs
Cleveland: 70.9%
Steals (L5)
+35.3% more
Cleveland: 11.9
vs
Orlando: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
108.4
109
CLE Score
106.6
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 31.7
39.5 / 33.3
Assists
29.3 / 25.0
25.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.9 / 6.9
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
52.5 / 44.1
50.6 / 45.6
Free Throw %
70.9 / 78.9
85.0 / 66.7
Rebounding
40.3 / 43.9
49.0 / 39.0
Steals
11.9 / 8.8
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 14.7
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
ORL
CLE
ORL
ML
60%
69-46
61%
65-42
56%
55-44
56%
51-40
ATS
67%
75-37-3
64%
68-38-1
56%
55-44
56%
51-40
TTL
59%
68-47
57%
61-46
100%
99-0
100%
91-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
Orlando Magic Preseason: Three Players with the Most to Gain Und…
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
Thunder's Young Core Shines in Preseason Loss to Pelicans