Home / NBA Projections NBA / Celtics @ Hornets BOS @ CHA

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

4-1  |  Road

124
FINAL
Fri, Nov 1 • 7:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

2-2  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
CELTICS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.2
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.2 points (Boston)
CelticsBOS (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Celtics Cover

73.3%

Hornets Cover

26.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -6.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1-7 points

26.7%

BOS By 8-14 points

24.5%

CHA By 1-7 points

16.6%

CHA By 8-14 points

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
116.08
BOSTON
109.85
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
112
BOSTON
103
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Celtics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Celtics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Celtics (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.2
D
Sim Celtics (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 225.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 7, 2026 CHA @ BOS 102 - 113
Mar 29, 2026 BOS @ CHA 114 - 99
Mar 4, 2026 CHA @ BOS 118 - 89
Apr 13, 2025 CHA @ BOS 86 - 93
Apr 11, 2025 CHA @ BOS 94 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +9.7% more
Boston: 8.5 vs Charlotte: 7.7
Free Throw % (L5) +4.3%
Boston: 81.5% vs Charlotte: 77.2%
Turnovers (L5) +50.8% more
Charlotte: 18.6 vs Boston: 12.3
Blocks (L5) +37.3% more
Charlotte: 6.7 vs Boston: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 116.1 124
CHA Score 109.9 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.5 / 38.0 39.6 / 31.0
Assists 24.9 / 23.6 20.0 / 21.0
Blocks 6.7 / 4.9 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 44.5 46.2 / 47.7
Free Throw % 77.2 / 81.5 50.0 / 82.9
Rebounding 45.8 / 44.2 42.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.7 / 8.5 5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 18.6 / 12.3 16.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS Advantage
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
CHA
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
BOS
CHA
BOS
ML
61% 60-39
57% 61-46
48% 40-44
53% 47-41
ATS
60% 59-40
59% 61-43-3
48% 40-44
53% 47-41
TTL
58% 57-42
56% 60-47
100% 84-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 1 hour, 1 minute ago
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 1 hour, 17 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 1 hour, 25 minutes ago
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
si 7 hours, 5 minutes ago
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 7 hours, 19 minutes ago