AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
NETS
0%
BULLS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.5
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.5 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -10.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
CHI By 1-7 points
10.0%
CHI By 8-14 points
3.0%
BKN By 1-7 points
22.4%
BKN By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
103.46
CHICAGO
Brooklyn
113.95
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Chicago
CHICAGO
Brooklyn
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.5
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 9, 2026
CHI @ BKN
115 - 123
Jan 18, 2026
BKN @ CHI
102 - 124
Jan 16, 2026
CHI @ BKN
109 - 112
Dec 3, 2025
BKN @ CHI
113 - 103
Mar 13, 2025
BKN @ CHI
110 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.0% more
Brooklyn: 7.9
vs
Chicago: 6.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.5%
Brooklyn: 83.2%
vs
Chicago: 70.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
Brooklyn: 47.3%
vs
Chicago: 43.4%
Rebounding (L5)
+25.1% more
Chicago: 52.6
vs
Brooklyn: 39.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
103.5
112
BKN Score
114.0
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 38.5
30.6 / 38.6
Assists
27.6 / 27.7
34.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.6
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 43.4
52.1 / 43.2
Free Throw %
83.2 / 70.7
84.6 / 79.2
Rebounding
39.4 / 52.6
46.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.9 / 6.5
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 15.3
11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
CHI
BKN
CHI
ML
53%
50-45
56%
54-42
59%
48-34
57%
46-35
ATS
52%
48-44-3
65%
62-33-1
59%
48-34
57%
46-35
TTL
57%
54-41
58%
56-40
100%
82-0
100%
81-0