FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
7-3-0 | Road
6
DALLAS
STARSDAL
7-2-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 6.00 | 0.786 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
6.00
--
Save %
0.786
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
STARS
0%
PANTHERS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
FLA By 1 goal
17.0%
FLA By 2-3 goals
17.6%
DAL By 1 goal
17.9%
DAL By 2-3 goals
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
3.51
FLORIDA
Dallas
3.61
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
FLA @ DAL
4 - 0
Nov 1, 2025
DAL @ FLA
3 - 4
Nov 2, 2024
DAL @ FLA
2 - 4
Nov 1, 2024
FLA @ DAL
6 - 4
Mar 12, 2024
FLA @ DAL
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.7% more
Dallas: 13.4
vs
Florida: 12.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.9%
Dallas: 49.3%
vs
Florida: 40.4%
Hits (L5)
+41.5% more
Florida: 26.1
vs
Dallas: 15.3
Takeaways (L5)
+13.0% more
Florida: 5.8
vs
Dallas: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
3.5
6
DAL Score
3.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 12.0
18.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
49.3 / 40.4
47.0 / 53.0
Hits
15.3 / 26.1
21.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
34.7 / 36.5
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.3 / 30.2
36.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 5.8
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
FLA
DAL
FLA
ML
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
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