PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
3-1 | Road
125
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
2-2 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
SUNS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
26.0%
PHX By 8-14 points
16.6%
LAC By 1-7 points
24.5%
LAC By 8-14 points
14.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
105.68
PHOENIX
LA
104.89
LA
Simulated Score
Phoenix
PHOENIX
LA
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Suns (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.8
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 210.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
LAC @ PHX
117 - 93
Nov 8, 2025
PHX @ LAC
114 - 103
Nov 6, 2025
LAC @ PHX
102 - 115
Oct 24, 2025
PHX @ LAC
102 - 129
Mar 4, 2025
LAC @ PHX
117 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+46.2% more
Phoenix: 7.4
vs
LA: 4.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.1%
Phoenix: 82.7%
vs
LA: 69.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Phoenix: 36.3%
vs
LA: 33.7%
Steals (L5)
+40.3% more
LA: 9.8
vs
Phoenix: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
105.7
125
LAC Score
104.9
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 36.3
34.3 / 46.2
Assists
26.5 / 26.3
27.0 / 29.0
Blocks
4.0 / 7.4
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 46.9
48.4 / 51.2
Free Throw %
69.6 / 82.7
81.0 / 82.1
Rebounding
47.1 / 43.9
48.0 / 39.0
Steals
9.8 / 7.0
8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
17.2 / 13.8
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
PHX
LAC
PHX
ML
60%
59-40
57%
60-45
55%
45-37
51%
45-43
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
59-43-3
55%
45-37
51%
45-43
TTL
59%
58-40-1
59%
61-42-2
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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