DETROIT
PISTONSDET
0-4 | Road
105
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
1-2 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
76ERS
0%
PISTONS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.8
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.8 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -11.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
DET By 1-7 points
8.3%
DET By 8-14 points
2.3%
PHI By 1-7 points
20.5%
PHI By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
98.12
DETROIT
Philadelphia
109.88
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Detroit
DETROIT
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.8
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
DET @ PHI
116 - 93
Mar 12, 2026
PHI @ DET
109 - 131
Nov 14, 2025
PHI @ DET
105 - 114
Nov 9, 2025
DET @ PHI
111 - 108
Feb 7, 2025
PHI @ DET
112 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+44.1% more
Philadelphia: 8.8
vs
Detroit: 6.1
Blocks (L5)
+31.4% more
Detroit: 5.6
vs
Philadelphia: 3.8
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
Detroit: 22.4
vs
Philadelphia: 17.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.1%
Detroit: 35.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 28.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
98.1
105
PHI Score
109.9
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.7 / 35.8
28.6 / 41.7
Assists
17.5 / 22.4
17.0 / 23.0
Blocks
3.8 / 5.6
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 43.9
41.8 / 46.2
Free Throw %
76.4 / 78.7
75.0 / 81.8
Rebounding
45.3 / 45.7
37.0 / 49.0
Steals
8.8 / 6.1
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 17.1
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
DET
PHI
DET
ML
63%
69-40
55%
64-53
48%
45-48
49%
47-49
ATS
65%
71-38
53%
60-54-3
48%
45-48
49%
47-49
TTL
55%
60-49
60%
70-46-1
100%
93-0
100%
96-0
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