TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
1-3 | Road
133
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
1-2 | Home
138
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
HORNETS
0%
RAPTORS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
199.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
TOR By 1-7 points
25.3%
TOR By 8-14 points
15.3%
CHA By 1-7 points
25.4%
CHA By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
99.58
TORONTO
Charlotte
99.59
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Toronto
TORONTO
Charlotte
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 199.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 7, 2026
TOR @ CHA
97 - 96
Dec 5, 2025
CHA @ TOR
111 - 86
Nov 29, 2025
TOR @ CHA
111 - 118
Nov 17, 2025
CHA @ TOR
108 - 110
Apr 9, 2025
CHA @ TOR
96 - 126
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Charlotte: 37.0%
vs
Toronto: 31.4%
Assists (L5)
+23.9% more
Toronto: 28.7
vs
Charlotte: 21.9
Steals (L5)
+15.1% more
Toronto: 8.3
vs
Charlotte: 7.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Toronto: 45.5%
vs
Charlotte: 43.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
99.6
133
CHA Score
99.6
138
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 31.4
44.4 / 32.1
Assists
21.9 / 28.7
31.0 / 37.0
Blocks
6.0 / 6.5
8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 45.5
52.1 / 57.1
Free Throw %
75.8 / 77.5
80.0 / 66.7
Rebounding
49.6 / 49.4
38.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.0 / 8.3
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
19.9 / 18.9
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
TOR
CHA
TOR
ML
61%
60-39
55%
57-47
48%
40-44
55%
48-39
ATS
60%
59-40
61%
62-40-2
48%
40-44
55%
48-39
TTL
58%
57-42
60%
62-42
100%
84-0
100%
87-0
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