AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
BULLS
100%
MAGIC
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
27.4%
ORL By 8-14 points
21.6%
CHI By 1-7 points
20.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
109.56
ORLANDO
Chicago
105.6
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
Chicago
110
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 215.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
ORL @ CHI
127 - 103
Jan 2, 2026
ORL @ CHI
114 - 121
Dec 1, 2025
CHI @ ORL
120 - 125
Oct 25, 2025
CHI @ ORL
110 - 98
Mar 6, 2025
CHI @ ORL
125 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+31.0% more
Orlando: 6.3
vs
Chicago: 4.4
Steals (L5)
+22.2% more
Orlando: 8.7
vs
Chicago: 6.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Orlando: 45.8%
vs
Chicago: 43.7%
Assists (L5)
+20.0% more
Chicago: 30.0
vs
Orlando: 25.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
109.6
99
CHI Score
105.6
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.7 / 35.6
38.2 / 23.9
Assists
30.0 / 25.0
23.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.4 / 6.3
2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 45.8
42.9 / 40.7
Free Throw %
72.1 / 73.4
68.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
51.9 / 44.9
54.0 / 42.0
Steals
6.8 / 8.7
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 16.1
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
ORL
CHI
ORL
ML
56%
54-42
61%
65-42
57%
46-35
56%
51-40
ATS
65%
62-33-1
64%
68-38-1
57%
46-35
56%
51-40
TTL
58%
56-40
57%
61-46
100%
81-0
100%
91-0