BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
1-3 | Road
119
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
2-2 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
NETS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.8
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.8 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -5.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BKN By 1-7 points
27.0%
BKN By 8-14 points
24.0%
MEM By 1-7 points
17.3%
MEM By 8-14 points
7.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
108.6
BROOKLYN
Memphis
102.85
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
109
BROOKLYN
Memphis
116
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nets (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.8
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 211.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
MEM @ BKN
115 - 126
Jan 11, 2026
BKN @ MEM
98 - 103
Dec 13, 2024
BKN @ MEM
119 - 135
Nov 4, 2024
MEM @ BKN
104 - 106
Oct 30, 2024
BKN @ MEM
119 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.0%
Brooklyn: 80.8%
vs
Memphis: 66.8%
Blocks (L5)
+41.7% more
Memphis: 6.7
vs
Brooklyn: 4.7
Assists (L5)
+17.4% more
Memphis: 32.7
vs
Brooklyn: 27.9
Rebounding (L5)
+17.1% more
Memphis: 49.2
vs
Brooklyn: 42.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
108.6
119
MEM Score
102.9
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 36.4
29.6 / 36.6
Assists
32.7 / 27.9
27.0 / 27.0
Blocks
6.7 / 4.7
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 45.4
46.9 / 51.2
Free Throw %
66.8 / 80.8
75.9 / 88.0
Rebounding
49.2 / 42.0
38.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.7 / 6.8
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 13.6
22.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MEM
Advantage
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
BKN
MEM
BKN
ML
57%
59-44
53%
50-45
50%
41-41
59%
48-34
ATS
63%
65-38
52%
48-44-3
50%
41-41
59%
48-34
TTL
70%
71-31-1
57%
54-41
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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