PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
1-3 | Road
106
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
2-1 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
203.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
POR By 1-7 points
18.5%
POR By 8-14 points
8.0%
LAC By 1-7 points
27.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
23.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
99
PORTLAND
LA
104.03
LA
Simulated Score
Portland
111
PORTLAND
LA
117
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 203.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
LAC @ POR
97 - 116
Mar 31, 2026
POR @ LAC
114 - 104
Dec 26, 2025
LAC @ POR
119 - 103
Oct 26, 2025
POR @ LAC
107 - 114
Jan 16, 2025
LAC @ POR
118 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.2% more
LA: 9.7
vs
Portland: 8.0
Assists (L5)
+20.9% more
LA: 26.8
vs
Portland: 22.1
Turnovers (L5)
+8.3% more
LA: 18.7
vs
Portland: 17.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
LA: 47.9%
vs
Portland: 42.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
99.0
106
LAC Score
104.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 28.6
36.1 / 42.4
Assists
26.8 / 22.1
26.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.5 / 6.1
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 42.5
45.6 / 44.6
Free Throw %
76.6 / 79.5
55.6 / 83.3
Rebounding
46.2 / 47.1
49.0 / 47.0
Steals
9.7 / 8.0
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
18.7 / 17.3
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
POR
LAC
POR
ML
60%
59-40
53%
56-49
55%
45-37
55%
49-40
ATS
66%
65-33-1
62%
65-39-1
55%
45-37
55%
49-40
TTL
59%
58-40-1
56%
58-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
89-0
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