Home / NHL Projections NHL / Ducks @ Islanders ANA @ NYI

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

3-4-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Oct 29 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

3-3-0  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
@
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Lukas Dostal None-None 1.00 0.976 --
Ilya Sorokin None-None 2.03 0.905 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 2.03
0.976 Ldr Save % 0.905
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
📊
ISLANDERS
0%
DUCKS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (New York)
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

32.6%

Islanders Cover

67.4%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)

ANA By 1 goal

12.7%

ANA By 2-3 goals

10.1%

NYI By 1 goal

19.7%

NYI By 2-3 goals

28.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2
ANAHEIM
2.9
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
ANAHEIM
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Islanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 NYI @ ANA 1 - 5
Dec 11, 2025 ANA @ NYI 2 - 5
Mar 9, 2025 NYI @ ANA 1 - 4
Oct 29, 2024 ANA @ NYI 3 - 1
Mar 10, 2024 NYI @ ANA 6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +47.8% more
New York: 5.5 vs Anaheim: 3.7
Hits (L5) +23.5% more
New York: 23.4 vs Anaheim: 18.9
Faceoff % (L5) +14.4%
New York: 56.7% vs Anaheim: 42.2%
Power Play % (L5) +2.4%
New York: 8.9% vs Anaheim: 6.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 2.0 3
NYI Score 2.9 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.0 / 17.8 14.0 / 25.0
Faceoff % 56.7 / 42.2 67.2 / 32.8
Hits 23.4 / 18.9 16.0 / 22.0
Power Play % 8.9 / 6.5 25.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 30.5 / 28.3 41.0 / 22.0
Takeaways 5.5 / 3.7 6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
92%MONEY8%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
ANA
NYI
ANA
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 2-0-1
33% 1-2
100% 2-0-1
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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