ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
5-4-0 | Road
1
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
4-4-0 | Home
8
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 6.28 | 0.786 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.28
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.786
Save %
Ldr 0.963
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
SENATORS
100%
BLUES
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
STL By 1 goal
19.7%
STL By 2-3 goals
30.1%
OTT By 1 goal
11.8%
OTT By 2-3 goals
9.0%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
3.62
ST. LOUIS
Ottawa
2.57
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blues
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blues (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Blues (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
STL @ OTT
2 - 1
Nov 28, 2025
OTT @ STL
3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025
OTT @ STL
1 - 7
Jan 3, 2025
OTT @ STL
0 - 4
Oct 29, 2024
STL @ OTT
1 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+46.6% more
Ottawa: 32.6
vs
St. Louis: 22.2
Power Play % (L5)
+22.5%
Ottawa: 36.1%
vs
St. Louis: 13.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.7% more
Ottawa: 19.4
vs
St. Louis: 17.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.6% more
Ottawa: 30.9
vs
St. Louis: 28.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
3.6
1
OTT Score
2.6
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.4 / 17.6
18.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
49.0 / 47.5
58.6 / 41.4
Hits
32.6 / 22.2
21.0 / 31.0
Power Play %
36.1 / 13.5
66.7 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
30.9 / 28.2
35.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.7
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
STL
OTT
STL
ML
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1-1
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