CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
1-2 | Road
126
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
2-1 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
BULLS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
25.7%
CHI By 8-14 points
15.9%
MEM By 1-7 points
25.0%
MEM By 8-14 points
14.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
107.16
CHICAGO
Memphis
106.81
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Chicago
104
CHICAGO
Memphis
111
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.3
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
CHI @ MEM
124 - 125
Mar 16, 2026
MEM @ CHI
107 - 132
Nov 23, 2024
MEM @ CHI
142 - 131
Oct 28, 2024
CHI @ MEM
126 - 123
Oct 12, 2024
MEM @ CHI
124 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+17.0% more
Chicago: 52.8
vs
Memphis: 43.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.5%
Chicago: 75.8%
vs
Memphis: 73.3%
Blocks (L5)
+56.5% more
Memphis: 5.5
vs
Chicago: 3.5
Steals (L5)
+18.4% more
Memphis: 9.1
vs
Chicago: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
107.2
126
MEM Score
106.8
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 34.4
32.6 / 47.2
Assists
30.6 / 27.0
37.0 / 36.0
Blocks
5.5 / 3.5
9.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 43.0
45.9 / 45.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 75.8
53.8 / 64.7
Rebounding
43.8 / 52.8
60.0 / 50.0
Steals
9.1 / 7.7
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
18.0 / 18.7
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
CHI
MEM
CHI
ML
57%
59-44
56%
54-42
50%
41-41
57%
46-35
ATS
63%
65-38
65%
62-33-1
50%
41-41
57%
46-35
TTL
70%
71-31-1
58%
56-40
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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