PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
1-2 | Road
98
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
0-2 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
KINGS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.7
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.7 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -7.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
POR By 1-7 points
14.2%
POR By 8-14 points
5.1%
SAC By 1-7 points
25.6%
SAC By 8-14 points
26.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
92.78
PORTLAND
Sacramento
100.48
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Portland
104
PORTLAND
Sacramento
109
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.7
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 193.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
SAC @ POR
110 - 122
Jan 18, 2026
POR @ SAC
117 - 110
Dec 20, 2025
POR @ SAC
98 - 93
Dec 18, 2025
SAC @ POR
133 - 134
Oct 10, 2025
SAC @ POR
123 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+14.2% more
Sacramento: 10.9
vs
Portland: 9.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Sacramento: 45.3%
vs
Portland: 42.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.6%
Sacramento: 80.8%
vs
Portland: 79.2%
Blocks (L5)
+52.7% more
Portland: 7.1
vs
Sacramento: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
92.8
98
SAC Score
100.5
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 33.8
40.0 / 18.2
Assists
26.5 / 24.7
25.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.4 / 7.1
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 42.6
45.7 / 42.2
Free Throw %
80.8 / 79.2
92.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
39.2 / 47.6
40.0 / 46.0
Steals
10.9 / 9.5
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 17.0
16.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
POR
SAC
POR
ML
55%
55-45
53%
56-49
61%
50-32
55%
49-40
ATS
54%
52-45-3
62%
65-39-1
61%
50-32
55%
49-40
TTL
58%
57-42-1
56%
58-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
89-0
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