DALLAS
STARSDAL
5-2-0 | Road
5
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
3-3-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 2.00 | 0.926 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 4.13 | 0.871 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
4.13
0.926 Ldr
Save %
0.871
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
BRUINS
0%
STARS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
DAL By 1 goal
13.1%
DAL By 2-3 goals
10.7%
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
27.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
2.5
DALLAS
Boston
3.33
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Boston
6
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
DAL @ BOS
3 - 6
Jan 20, 2026
BOS @ DAL
2 - 6
Nov 14, 2024
BOS @ DAL
2 - 7
Oct 24, 2024
DAL @ BOS
5 - 2
Feb 19, 2024
DAL @ BOS
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+48.0% more
Boston: 27.6
vs
Dallas: 18.6
Takeaways (L5)
+32.1% more
Dallas: 7.0
vs
Boston: 4.8
Power Play % (L5)
+13.8%
Dallas: 23.1%
vs
Boston: 9.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Dallas: 51.3%
vs
Boston: 49.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
2.5
5
BOS Score
3.3
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 15.9
14.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
49.6 / 51.3
52.8 / 47.2
Hits
27.6 / 18.6
29.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
9.3 / 23.1
25.0 / 60.0
Shots on Goal
27.6 / 27.5
27.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 7.0
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
DAL
BOS
DAL
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
75%
3-1
100%
3-0
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
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