CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
3-2-0 | Road
4
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
5-0-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Brayden Pachal
#94 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 2.00 | 0.938 | -- |
| Brayden Pachal | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
--
0.938
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
FLAMES
100%
HURRICANES
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
28.3%
CGY By 1 goal
12.8%
CGY By 2-3 goals
10.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.92
CAROLINA
Calgary
3.04
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
CAR @ CGY
4 - 5
Nov 30, 2025
CGY @ CAR
0 - 1
Mar 2, 2025
CGY @ CAR
1 - 2
Oct 24, 2024
CAR @ CGY
4 - 2
Mar 10, 2024
CGY @ CAR
2 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+45.9% more
Carolina: 8.1
vs
Calgary: 4.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.9% more
Carolina: 34.6
vs
Calgary: 26.4
Power Play % (L5)
+19.7%
Carolina: 37.4%
vs
Calgary: 17.8%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.1%
Carolina: 47.4%
vs
Calgary: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.9
4
CGY Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 12.0
19.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
43.3 / 47.4
41.1 / 58.9
Hits
26.2 / 19.7
31.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
17.8 / 37.4
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
26.4 / 34.6
32.0 / 43.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 8.1
5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
CAR
CGY
CAR
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Semyon Varlamov Returns to Islanders Net After 676 Days and Two …