BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
0-0 | Road
116
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
0-0 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
HAWKS
100%
NETS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
192.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.1
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.1 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -7.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BKN By 1-7 points
26.1%
BKN By 8-14 points
25.5%
ATL By 1-7 points
15.1%
ATL By 8-14 points
5.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
99.71
BROOKLYN
Atlanta
92.59
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
BROOKLYN
Atlanta
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.1
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 192.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
ATL @ BKN
141 - 107
Mar 12, 2026
BKN @ ATL
97 - 108
Feb 22, 2026
BKN @ ATL
104 - 115
Oct 29, 2025
ATL @ BKN
117 - 112
Apr 10, 2025
ATL @ BKN
133 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+37.6% more
Brooklyn: 5.2
vs
Atlanta: 3.2
Turnovers (L5)
+9.4% more
Atlanta: 18.2
vs
Brooklyn: 16.6
Steals (L5)
+9.2% more
Atlanta: 9.2
vs
Brooklyn: 8.5
Assists (L5)
+8.9% more
Atlanta: 28.0
vs
Brooklyn: 25.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
99.7
116
ATL Score
92.6
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 31.1
32.1 / 39.5
Assists
28.0 / 25.7
25.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.2 / 5.2
9.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 41.9
48.8 / 44.0
Free Throw %
84.4 / 76.4
71.7 / 76.0
Rebounding
43.1 / 41.5
45.0 / 43.0
Steals
9.2 / 8.5
12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
18.2 / 16.6
16.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
BKN
ATL
BKN
ML
50%
52-52
53%
50-45
55%
48-40
59%
48-34
ATS
53%
55-48-1
52%
48-44-3
55%
48-40
59%
48-34
TTL
53%
55-48-1
57%
54-41
100%
88-0
100%
82-0
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