Home / NFL Projections NFL / Vikings @ Rams MIN @ LAR

MINNESOTA

VIKINGSMIN

5-1  |  Road

20
FINAL
Thu, Oct 24 • 8:15 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

2-4  |  Home

30
Key Game
Will Reichard
KEY GAME

Will Reichard

#16 | Place kicker
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
Will Reichard None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
VIKINGS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
VikingsMIN (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

47.1%

Rams Cover

52.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

MIN By 1-6 points

16.1%

MIN By 7-13 points

14.6%

LAR By 1-6 points

16.7%

LAR By 7-13 points

16.1%

AI Model Projected Score
23.22
MINNESOTA
24.24
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
MINNESOTA
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 47.5
D
Sim u0.0 Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 13, 2025 MIN @ LAR 9 - 27
Oct 24, 2024 MIN @ LAR 20 - 30
Dec 26, 2021 LAR @ MIN 30 - 23
Sep 27, 2018 MIN @ LAR 31 - 38
Nov 19, 2017 LAR @ MIN 7 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +23.2% more
Minnesota: 1.6 vs Los Angeles: 1.3
Yards Per Play (L5) +11.5% more
Minnesota: 5.9 vs Los Angeles: 5.2
Net Passing Yards (L5) +9.7% more
Minnesota: 221.8 vs Los Angeles: 200.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 23.2 20
LAR Score 24.2 30
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.3 / 17.8 26.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards 200.2 / 221.8 279.0 / 212.0
Rushing Yards 111.8 / 115.9 107.0 / 64.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.4 / 0.29
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 312.1 / 337.7 386.0 / 276.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 1.6 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.2 / 5.9 5.8 / 5.5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -9.0
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
MIN
LAR
MIN
ML
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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