DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
2-3-0 | Road
1
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
2-1-0 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 1.04 | 0.909 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.04
--
Save %
0.909
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
RED WINGS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
DET By 1 goal
8.7%
DET By 2-3 goals
5.6%
NYI By 1 goal
18.9%
NYI By 2-3 goals
34.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.25
DETROIT
New York
3.83
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Red Wings (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
NYI @ DET
2 - 3
Nov 20, 2025
NYI @ DET
5 - 0
Oct 23, 2025
DET @ NYI
2 - 7
Nov 25, 2024
DET @ NYI
4 - 2
Nov 21, 2024
NYI @ DET
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.4% more
New York: 33.8
vs
Detroit: 28.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.5%
New York: 52.6%
vs
Detroit: 48.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+31.8% more
Detroit: 7.6
vs
New York: 5.2
Power Play % (L5)
+7.4%
Detroit: 18.7%
vs
New York: 11.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.3
1
NYI Score
3.8
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 17.2
9.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
52.6 / 48.1
52.4 / 47.6
Hits
22.6 / 22.5
13.0 / 10.0
Power Play %
1133.0 / 1870.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.8 / 28.6
30.0 / 11.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 7.6
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
DET
NYI
DET
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-3
100%
2-0-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…