CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
2-2-0 | Road
3
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
2-4-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Frederik Andersen
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Frederik Andersen | None-None | 1.85 | 0.943 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.85
--
Save %
0.943
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
OILERS
0%
HURRICANES
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
CAR By 1 goal
15.9%
CAR By 2-3 goals
15.2%
EDM By 1 goal
18.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
22.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
2.59
CAROLINA
Edmonton
2.92
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Edmonton
5
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
CAR @ EDM
6 - 3
Nov 15, 2025
EDM @ CAR
4 - 3
Mar 1, 2025
EDM @ CAR
3 - 1
Oct 22, 2024
CAR @ EDM
3 - 2
Dec 6, 2023
CAR @ EDM
1 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.7% more
Edmonton: 13.8
vs
Carolina: 11.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.3%
Edmonton: 56.3%
vs
Carolina: 49.0%
Power Play % (L5)
+28.1%
Carolina: 31.2%
vs
Edmonton: 3.1%
Hits (L5)
+22.2% more
Carolina: 17.1
vs
Edmonton: 13.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
2.6
3
EDM Score
2.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 11.5
15.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
56.3 / 49.0
55.8 / 44.2
Hits
13.3 / 17.1
14.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
3.1 / 31.2
25.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
31.5 / 35.5
35.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
6.8 / 7.2
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
CAR
EDM
CAR
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
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