PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
3-3-0 | Road
3
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
4-0-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
David Gustafsson
#13 | Center@
GOALTENDER
Dylan Samberg
#54 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Gustafsson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dylan Samberg | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
JETS
100%
PENGUINS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
30.3%
WPG By 1 goal
11.7%
WPG By 2-3 goals
8.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
5.01
PITTSBURGH
Winnipeg
3.94
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Penguins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 5, 2026
WPG @ PIT
3 - 2
Mar 21, 2026
WPG @ PIT
4 - 5
Nov 1, 2025
PIT @ WPG
2 - 5
Nov 22, 2024
WPG @ PIT
4 - 1
Oct 20, 2024
PIT @ WPG
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+23.0% more
Pittsburgh: 7.2
vs
Winnipeg: 5.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.1% more
Pittsburgh: 16.3
vs
Winnipeg: 13.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.0%
Pittsburgh: 56.0%
vs
Winnipeg: 52.9%
Power Play % (L5)
+23.8%
Winnipeg: 42.6%
vs
Pittsburgh: 18.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
5.0
3
WPG Score
3.9
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.7 / 16.3
25.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
52.9 / 56.0
45.2 / 54.8
Hits
20.6 / 21.4
21.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
42.6 / 18.8
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
32.8 / 31.3
37.0 / 42.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 7.2
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
PIT
WPG
PIT
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…