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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

0-0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, May 24 • 8:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

0-0-0  |  Home

6
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
HURRICANES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Florida)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

20.3%

Panthers Cover

79.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

CAR By 1 goal

8.3%

CAR By 2-3 goals

5.2%

FLA By 1 goal

18.7%

FLA By 2-3 goals

35.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2.78
CAROLINA
4.44
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.7
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 29, 2026 FLA @ CAR 1 - 0
Jan 16, 2026 FLA @ CAR 1 - 9
Dec 23, 2025 FLA @ CAR 5 - 2
Sep 29, 2025 CAR @ FLA 3 - 4
Sep 24, 2025 FLA @ CAR 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +37.1%
Florida: 52.5% vs Carolina: 15.4%
Hits (L5) +20.3% more
Florida: 51.6 vs Carolina: 42.9
Faceoff % (L5) +9.3%
Carolina: 54.2% vs Florida: 45.0%
Takeaways (L5) +9.0% more
Carolina: 5.2 vs Florida: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 2.8 2
FLA Score 4.4 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.0 / 16.6 17.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 45.0 / 54.2 44.1 / 55.9
Hits 51.6 / 42.9 60.0 / 44.0
Power Play % 52.5 / 15.4 0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 25.1 / 26.3 28.0 / 25.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 5.2 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
74%MONEY26%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
CAR
FLA
CAR
ML
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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