CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
2-1-0 | Road
3
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
3-2-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 4.14 | 0.789 | -- |
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 3.00 | 0.925 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.14
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.789
Save %
Ldr 0.925
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
BLUES
100%
HURRICANES
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
31.4%
STL By 1 goal
11.0%
STL By 2-3 goals
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.43
CAROLINA
St. Louis
2.24
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
STL @ CAR
3 - 1
Jan 13, 2026
CAR @ STL
0 - 3
Nov 17, 2024
STL @ CAR
1 - 4
Oct 19, 2024
CAR @ STL
3 - 4
Apr 12, 2024
CAR @ STL
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+17.9%
Carolina: 30.1%
vs
St. Louis: 12.2%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.0% more
Carolina: 33.2
vs
St. Louis: 28.9
Hits (L5)
+31.5% more
St. Louis: 25.2
vs
Carolina: 19.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.4
3
STL Score
2.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.3 / 14.7
12.0 / 5.0
Faceoff %
51.6 / 50.2
53.5 / 46.5
Hits
25.2 / 19.1
27.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
12.2 / 30.1
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
28.9 / 33.2
19.0 / 40.0
Takeaways
6.2 / 6.3
3.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
CAR
STL
CAR
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
50%
1-1-1
0%
0-4
50%
1-1-1
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
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