BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
1-4-0 | Road
4
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
2-2-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 2.00 | 0.946 | -- |
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 3.09 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.09
0.946 Ldr
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
0%
BLACKHAWKS
100%
SABRES
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
31.1%
CHI By 1 goal
11.2%
CHI By 2-3 goals
8.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
3.16
BUFFALO
Chicago
2.01
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blackhawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sabres (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CHI @ BUF
3 - 4
Apr 13, 2026
BUF @ CHI
5 - 1
Nov 21, 2025
CHI @ BUF
3 - 9
Dec 27, 2024
CHI @ BUF
2 - 6
Oct 19, 2024
BUF @ CHI
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+26.8% more
Buffalo: 21.6
vs
Chicago: 15.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.5%
Buffalo: 47.2%
vs
Chicago: 43.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+51.7% more
Chicago: 19.6
vs
Buffalo: 12.9
Power Play % (L5)
+27.8%
Chicago: 29.4%
vs
Buffalo: 1.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
3.2
4
CHI Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.6 / 12.9
19.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
43.6 / 47.2
53.7 / 46.3
Hits
15.8 / 21.6
21.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
2936.0 / 153.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.8 / 27.7
37.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
7.5 / 6.3
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
BUF
CHI
BUF
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
100%
3-0
TTL
33%
1-2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming