CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
1-1-0 | Road
4
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
3-2-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Joel Blomqvist
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Joel Blomqvist | None-None | 4.00 | 0.895 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.00
--
Save %
0.895
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
PENGUINS
0%
HURRICANES
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
CAR By 1 goal
13.9%
CAR By 2-3 goals
11.8%
PIT By 1 goal
19.5%
PIT By 2-3 goals
26.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.58
CAROLINA
Pittsburgh
4.28
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
CAR @ PIT
5 - 1
Mar 18, 2026
PIT @ CAR
5 - 6
Mar 10, 2026
PIT @ CAR
4 - 5
Dec 30, 2025
CAR @ PIT
1 - 5
Jan 5, 2025
PIT @ CAR
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+44.4% more
Pittsburgh: 9.3
vs
Carolina: 6.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.4% more
Pittsburgh: 34.0
vs
Carolina: 30.8
Power Play % (L5)
+8.0%
Pittsburgh: 28.2%
vs
Carolina: 20.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.1%
Pittsburgh: 57.6%
vs
Carolina: 51.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.6
4
PIT Score
4.3
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.0 / 15.6
21.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
57.6 / 51.6
52.6 / 47.4
Hits
18.6 / 21.2
27.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
28.2 / 20.2
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
34.0 / 30.8
26.0 / 38.0
Takeaways
9.3 / 6.4
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
CAR
PIT
CAR
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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