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ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

2-1-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Oct 18 • 9:00 PM ET
Ball Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

0-4-0  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
@
Alexandar Georgiev
GOALTENDER

Alexandar Georgiev

#40 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Lukas Dostal None-None 3.91 0.918 --
Alexandar Georgiev None-None 2.80 0.842 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.91 GAA Ldr 2.80
0.918 Ldr Save % 0.842
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
📊
AVALANCHE
100%
DUCKS --
AVALANCHE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Anaheim)
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 AvalancheCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

57.7%

Avalanche Cover

42.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

ANA By 1 goal

18.9%

ANA By 2-3 goals

22.9%

COL By 1 goal

15.6%

COL By 2-3 goals

14.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2.45
ANAHEIM
2.06
COLORADO
Simulated Score
2
ANAHEIM
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ducks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Avalanche Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ducks (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim Avalanche (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.5
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 COL @ ANA 5 - 1
Jan 21, 2026 ANA @ COL 2 - 1
Nov 11, 2025 ANA @ COL 1 - 4
Apr 13, 2025 COL @ ANA 4 - 2
Dec 20, 2024 COL @ ANA 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +12.6% more
Anaheim: 17.4 vs Colorado: 15.2
Hits (L5) +65.7% more
Colorado: 31.1 vs Anaheim: 18.8
Power Play % (L5) +42.9%
Colorado: 54.8% vs Anaheim: 11.9%
Takeaways (L5) +13.7% more
Colorado: 6.7 vs Anaheim: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 2.5 3
COL Score 2.1 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.2 / 17.4 19.0 / 27.0
Faceoff % 44.3 / 41.1 61.0 / 39.0
Hits 31.1 / 18.8 16.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 54.8 / 11.9 20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 29.2 / 28.4 49.0 / 19.0
Takeaways 6.7 / 5.9 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
92%MONEY8%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
ANA
COL
ANA
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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