NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
1-1-0 | Road
0
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
2-2-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 0.97 | 0.967 | -- |
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.97
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.967
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
BLUES
0%
ISLANDERS
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
NYI By 1 goal
14.4%
NYI By 2-3 goals
12.6%
STL By 1 goal
19.4%
STL By 2-3 goals
25.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.57
NEW YORK
St. Louis
3.18
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blues
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
NYI @ STL
4 - 3
Nov 22, 2025
STL @ NYI
2 - 1
Nov 23, 2024
STL @ NYI
1 - 3
Oct 17, 2024
NYI @ STL
0 - 1
Mar 5, 2024
STL @ NYI
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+47.3% more
St. Louis: 6.9
vs
New York: 4.7
Hits (L5)
+24.7% more
St. Louis: 22.8
vs
New York: 18.2
Power Play % (L5)
+5.3%
St. Louis: 18.3%
vs
New York: 13.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
St. Louis: 54.0%
vs
New York: 52.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.6
0
STL Score
3.2
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.4 / 19.3
12.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
54.0 / 52.3
46.7 / 53.3
Hits
22.8 / 18.2
30.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
1831.0 / 1298.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.3 / 32.1
30.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
6.9 / 4.7
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
NYI
STL
NYI
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1-1
100%
2-0-1
50%
1-1-1
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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