BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
2-2-0 | Road
5
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
0-3-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Casey Mittelstadt
#11 | Center@
GOALTENDER
Alexandar Georgiev
#40 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Mittelstadt | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Alexandar Georgiev | None-None | 4.16 | 0.840 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.16
--
Save %
0.840
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
AVALANCHE
100%
BRUINS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1 goal
18.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
22.4%
COL By 1 goal
15.8%
COL By 2-3 goals
15.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.26
BOSTON
Colorado
1.92
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 25, 2025
COL @ BOS
2 - 3
Oct 18, 2025
BOS @ COL
1 - 4
Jan 25, 2025
COL @ BOS
1 - 3
Oct 16, 2024
BOS @ COL
5 - 3
Jan 18, 2024
COL @ BOS
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+15.9% more
Boston: 34.7
vs
Colorado: 29.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.7%
Boston: 52.7%
vs
Colorado: 47.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+40.0% more
Colorado: 7.1
vs
Boston: 5.1
Power Play % (L5)
+25.9%
Colorado: 32.3%
vs
Boston: 6.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.3
5
COL Score
1.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 15.3
15.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
47.1 / 52.7
38.7 / 61.3
Hits
29.2 / 34.7
35.0 / 35.0
Power Play %
32.3 / 6.4
100.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
31.3 / 26.4
25.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
7.1 / 5.1
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
BOS
COL
BOS
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Bruins Look to Fix Special Teams as Senators Come to Town
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…
Kaprizov's Two Goals Propel Wild Past Bruins 4-1