MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
1-0-0 | Road
4
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
2-1-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 1.00 | 0.964 | -- |
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 3.04 | 0.885 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.04
0.964 Ldr
Save %
0.885
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
BLUES
0%
WILD
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
MIN By 1 goal
15.8%
MIN By 2-3 goals
15.0%
STL By 1 goal
18.7%
STL By 2-3 goals
22.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.15
MINNESOTA
St. Louis
3.5
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blues
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blues (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
MIN @ STL
3 - 6
Mar 1, 2026
STL @ MIN
3 - 1
Oct 9, 2025
MIN @ STL
5 - 0
Mar 15, 2025
STL @ MIN
5 - 1
Jan 7, 2025
STL @ MIN
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+51.1% more
St. Louis: 7.8
vs
Minnesota: 5.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.3%
St. Louis: 53.3%
vs
Minnesota: 49.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.2
4
STL Score
3.5
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 14.1
18.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
53.3 / 49.0
55.3 / 44.7
Hits
19.6 / 18.4
29.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
27.5 / 28.3
0.0 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
28.4 / 29.7
28.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
7.8 / 5.2
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
MIN
STL
MIN
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1-1
100%
3-0
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
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