FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
1-2-0 | Road
4
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
2-1-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brad Marchand
#63 | Left Wing@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Marchand | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 4.12 | 0.846 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.12
--
Save %
0.846
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
BRUINS
100%
PANTHERS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
17.7%
FLA By 2-3 goals
19.2%
BOS By 1 goal
17.2%
BOS By 2-3 goals
18.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
3.24
FLORIDA
Boston
3.19
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Boston
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
BOS @ FLA
1 - 2
Feb 4, 2026
BOS @ FLA
4 - 5
Oct 21, 2025
FLA @ BOS
4 - 3
Mar 11, 2025
FLA @ BOS
2 - 3
Jan 11, 2025
BOS @ FLA
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+24.9% more
Florida: 7.5
vs
Boston: 5.6
Power Play % (L5)
+7.6%
Florida: 17.1%
vs
Boston: 9.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+54.6% more
Boston: 18.9
vs
Florida: 12.2
Hits (L5)
+14.6% more
Boston: 32.1
vs
Florida: 28.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
3.2
4
BOS Score
3.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.9 / 12.2
8.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
52.0 / 48.4
54.1 / 45.9
Hits
32.1 / 28.0
40.0 / 36.0
Power Play %
9.6 / 17.1
0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
26.1 / 28.0
27.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 7.5
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
FLA
BOS
FLA
ML
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Brad Marchand Forced Off Ice with Apparent Leg Injury in Panther…
Brad Marchand Injured as Panthers' Injury Woes Deepen