NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
0-1-0 | Road
6
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
0-2-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alexandar Georgiev
#40 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 2.00 | 0.941 | -- |
| Alexandar Georgiev | None-None | 5.30 | 0.861 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
5.30
0.941 Ldr
Save %
0.861
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
ISLANDERS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
NYI By 1 goal
16.4%
NYI By 2-3 goals
16.2%
COL By 1 goal
18.4%
COL By 2-3 goals
21.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.8
NEW YORK
Colorado
3.03
COLORADO
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 4, 2025
COL @ NYI
3 - 6
Nov 16, 2025
NYI @ COL
1 - 4
Jan 28, 2025
COL @ NYI
2 - 5
Oct 14, 2024
NYI @ COL
6 - 2
Jan 2, 2024
NYI @ COL
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+115.4% more
Colorado: 9.7
vs
New York: 4.5
Hits (L5)
+51.1% more
Colorado: 32.3
vs
New York: 21.4
Power Play % (L5)
+28.9%
Colorado: 48.4%
vs
New York: 19.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.9% more
New York: 18.4
vs
Colorado: 15.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.8
6
COL Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 18.4
14.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
49.0 / 50.0
43.2 / 56.8
Hits
32.3 / 21.4
23.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
4839.0 / 1946.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.9 / 29.6
34.0 / 37.0
Takeaways
9.7 / 4.5
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
NYI
COL
NYI
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
2-0-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0-1
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