MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
1-0-0 | Road
1
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
2-0-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 1.97 | 0.943 | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 0.99 | 0.963 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.97
GAA
Ldr 0.99
0.943
Save %
Ldr 0.963
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
0%
JETS
100%
WILD
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1 goal
19.3%
MIN By 2-3 goals
33.7%
WPG By 1 goal
9.5%
WPG By 2-3 goals
6.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
4.88
MINNESOTA
Winnipeg
3.44
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wild
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wild (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 15, 2026
WPG @ MIN
6 - 2
Dec 27, 2025
MIN @ WPG
4 - 3
Nov 23, 2025
MIN @ WPG
3 - 0
Oct 28, 2025
WPG @ MIN
4 - 3
Sep 30, 2025
WPG @ MIN
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+14.3%
Minnesota: 42.4%
vs
Winnipeg: 28.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+39.4% more
Winnipeg: 5.2
vs
Minnesota: 3.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+30.0% more
Winnipeg: 17.8
vs
Minnesota: 13.7
Hits (L5)
+25.4% more
Winnipeg: 23.2
vs
Minnesota: 18.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
4.9
1
WPG Score
3.4
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.8 / 13.7
11.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
54.7 / 49.8
52.5 / 47.5
Hits
23.2 / 18.5
16.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
28.1 / 42.4
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.2 / 31.1
35.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 3.7
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
MIN
WPG
MIN
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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