NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
0-0-0 | Road
0
DALLAS
STARSDAL
1-0-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Semyon Varlamov
#40 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov | None-None | 2.10 | 0.923 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.10
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.923
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
STARS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYI By 1 goal
19.6%
NYI By 2-3 goals
26.9%
DAL By 1 goal
13.6%
DAL By 2-3 goals
11.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.97
NEW YORK
Dallas
3.22
DALLAS
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 26, 2026
DAL @ NYI
1 - 2
Nov 18, 2025
NYI @ DAL
3 - 2
Feb 23, 2025
DAL @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 12, 2024
NYI @ DAL
0 - 3
Feb 26, 2024
NYI @ DAL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+26.2% more
New York: 21.1
vs
Dallas: 15.6
Power Play % (L5)
+19.8%
New York: 29.2%
vs
Dallas: 9.4%
Hits (L5)
+10.4% more
New York: 23.5
vs
Dallas: 21.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.0% more
New York: 27.4
vs
Dallas: 24.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
4.0
0
DAL Score
3.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.6 / 21.1
14.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
46.6 / 49.6
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
21.1 / 23.5
18.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
939.0 / 2919.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.7 / 27.4
27.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
7.3 / 4.2
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
NYI
DAL
NYI
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
100%
2-0-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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