FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
1-0-0 | Road
1
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
0-0-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brady Tkachuk
#8 | Left Wing@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 1.00 | 0.969 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.969
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
SENATORS
100%
PANTHERS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
17.1%
FLA By 2-3 goals
37.6%
OTT By 1 goal
6.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
3.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
4.07
FLORIDA
Ottawa
1.98
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.1
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
FLA @ OTT
1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026
OTT @ FLA
3 - 6
Jan 10, 2026
FLA @ OTT
3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025
OTT @ FLA
2 - 6
Apr 5, 2025
FLA @ OTT
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+10.2% more
Florida: 34.9
vs
Ottawa: 31.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.1%
Florida: 50.7%
vs
Ottawa: 45.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+32.4% more
Ottawa: 16.6
vs
Florida: 12.5
Takeaways (L5)
+13.2% more
Ottawa: 8.6
vs
Florida: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
4.1
1
OTT Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.6 / 12.5
30.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
45.6 / 50.7
56.1 / 43.9
Hits
31.4 / 34.9
27.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
10.7 / 1.1
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.7 / 28.4
31.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
8.6 / 7.6
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
FLA
OTT
FLA
ML
0%
0-3
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
TTL
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
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