PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
0-1-0 | Road
6
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
0-0-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joel Blomqvist
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Blomqvist | None-None | 3.01 | 0.906 | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.01
GAA
--
0.906
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
RED WINGS
100%
PENGUINS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
PIT By 1 goal
19.5%
PIT By 2-3 goals
32.8%
DET By 1 goal
10.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
7.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
3.64
PITTSBURGH
Detroit
2.3
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Penguins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
DET @ PIT
1 - 5
Jan 3, 2026
PIT @ DET
4 - 1
Jan 1, 2026
DET @ PIT
3 - 4
Sep 29, 2025
PIT @ DET
2 - 1
Sep 26, 2025
DET @ PIT
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+27.7% more
Pittsburgh: 7.2
vs
Detroit: 5.2
Power Play % (L5)
+17.6%
Pittsburgh: 31.5%
vs
Detroit: 13.9%
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.1%
Pittsburgh: 52.4%
vs
Detroit: 50.3%
Hits (L5)
+43.9% more
Detroit: 26.4
vs
Pittsburgh: 18.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
3.6
6
DET Score
2.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 13.7
12.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
50.3 / 52.4
46.4 / 53.6
Hits
26.4 / 18.3
19.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
13.9 / 31.5
20.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
35.3 / 34.4
32.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 7.2
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
PIT
DET
PIT
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…