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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

0-0-0  |  Road

6
FINAL
Wed, Oct 9 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

0-0-0  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Brayden Pachal
GOALTENDER

Brayden Pachal

#94 | Defense
@
Filip Hronek
GOALTENDER

Filip Hronek

#17 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Brayden Pachal None-None -- -- --
Filip Hronek None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
📊
CANUCKS
0%
FLAMES --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Vancouver)
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

28.3%

Canucks Cover

71.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

CGY By 1 goal

11.2%

CGY By 2-3 goals

8.3%

VAN By 1 goal

19.7%

VAN By 2-3 goals

31.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2.91
CALGARY
4.06
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
3
CALGARY
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canucks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canucks Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canucks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim Canucks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 CGY @ VAN 1 - 4
Mar 28, 2026 VAN @ CGY 3 - 7
Nov 23, 2025 CGY @ VAN 5 - 2
Oct 9, 2025 CGY @ VAN 1 - 5
Oct 1, 2025 VAN @ CGY 8 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +100.0% more
Vancouver: 39.7 vs Calgary: 19.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +11.9% more
Vancouver: 14.3 vs Calgary: 12.7
Faceoff % (L5) +7.1%
Vancouver: 54.5% vs Calgary: 47.5%
Takeaways (L5) +49.0% more
Calgary: 7.7 vs Vancouver: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 2.9 6
VAN Score 4.1 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.3 / 12.7 12.0 / 22.0
Faceoff % 54.5 / 47.5 53.8 / 46.2
Hits 39.7 / 19.9 13.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 6.4 / 15.4 50.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 20.3 / 34.4 24.0 / 26.0
Takeaways 4.0 / 7.7 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
CGY
VAN
CGY
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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