Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Villarreal vs Getafe Villarreal vs Getafe

VILLARREALVILLARREAL

3-3-5  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sun, Nov 8 • 12:30 PM ET
Estadio de la Cerámica

GETAFEGETAFE

3-3-5  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
VILLARREAL
61%
DRAW
21%
GETAFE
18%
▲ Edge: +31.90% (Getafe)
65% Book Odds: -185
DRAW --
17% Book Odds: +500
Book Implied: 64.90% / % / 16.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 2.5 50%
Under 2.5 50%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
+1.0
GETAFE
Book Goal Line
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Getafe)
VillarrealVillarreal (-1.5) 0 GetafeGetafe (+1.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

72.4% / 27.6%

Shots (On Goal)

22(7) / 9(1)

Corners

9 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 2/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Getafe +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Getafe)

Villarreal By 1 goal

26.1%

Villarreal By 2+ goals

36.9%

Getafe By 1 goal

11.1%

Getafe By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
VILLARREAL
Book Implied: 2
1
GETAFE
Book Implied: 0.50
Simulated Score
2
VILLARREAL
Book Implied: 2
0
GETAFE
Book Implied: 0.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Villarreal Win
51% Win Prob
D
Sim Villarreal Win
80% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Getafe (+1) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
C
Sim Villarreal (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2026 Villarreal vs Getafe 2 - 0
Feb 14, 2026 Getafe vs Villarreal 2 - 1
Dec 6, 2025 Villarreal vs Getafe 2 - 0
Mar 30, 2025 Getafe vs Villarreal 1 - 2
Oct 20, 2024 Villarreal vs Getafe 1 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +25.0% more
Villarreal: 10.0 vs Getafe: 8.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +8.3% more
Villarreal: 12.0 vs Getafe: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Getafe Score 1.0 0
Villarreal Score 2.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Villarreal (Home) vs Getafe (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Villarreal Share: 66.7% Getafe Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Villarreal
Getafe
Villarreal
Getafe
ML
42% 5-7
67% 8-4
42% 5-7
67% 8-4
ATS
67% 8-4
33% 4-8
33% 4-8
58% 7-5
TTL
58% 7-5
42% 5-7
50% 6-6
42% 5-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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