AI Model Win Probability
CELTA VIGO
35%
DRAW
31%
LEVANTE
35%
▲ Edge: +26.70% (Levante)
54%
Book Odds: -115
DRAW
--
23%
Book Odds: +330
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
LEVANTE
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Levante)
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
58.7% / 41.3%
Shots (On Goal)
23(8) / 6(0)
Corners
6 / 1
Cards (Y/R)
1/0 - 2/0
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Levante 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Levante)
Celta Vigo By 1 goal
21.1%
Celta Vigo By 2+ goals
15.9%
Levante By 1 goal
21.1%
Levante By 2+ goals
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Celta Vigo
1
CELTA VIGO
Book Implied: 1.50
Levante
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
Celta Vigo
2
CELTA VIGO
Book Implied: 1.50
Levante
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Draw
Win
35% Win Prob
B
Sim
Celta Vigo
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Levante (+0.5)
Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim
Celta Vigo (-0.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u2.5
Win
Proj Total: 2.0
D
Sim
o2.5
Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2026
Celta Vigo vs Levante
0 - 0
Nov 2, 2025
Levante vs Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Feb 21, 2022
Celta Vigo vs Levante
1 - 1
Sep 21, 2021
Levante vs Celta Vigo
0 - 2
Apr 30, 2021
Celta Vigo vs Levante
2 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5)
+100.0% more
Levante: 2.0
vs
Celta Vigo: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5)
+60.0% more
Levante: 8.0
vs
Celta Vigo: 5.0
Wins (L5)
+100.0% more
Celta Vigo: 2.0
vs
Levante: 1.0
Goals Conceded (L5)
+28.6% more
Celta Vigo: 7.0
vs
Levante: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Levante Score
1.0
0
Celta Vigo Score
1.0
0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Celta Vigo (Home)
vs
Levante (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Celta Vigo
Levante
Celta Vigo
Levante
ML
55%
6-5
73%
8-3
27%
3-8
45%
5-6
ATS
29%
3-7
73%
8-3
36%
4-7
27%
3-8
TTL
64%
7-4
45%
5-6
36%
4-7
55%
6-5