Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Elche vs Betis Elche vs Betis

ELCHEELCHE

2-4-5  |  Home

0
FINAL
Sun, Nov 8 • 8:00 AM ET
Estadio Martínez Valero

BETISBETIS

7-2-2  |  Away

2
AI Model Win Probability
ELCHE
35%
DRAW
31%
BETIS
35%
▲ Edge: +24.40% (Elche)
26% Book Odds: +290
DRAW --
54% Book Odds: -115
Book Implied: 25.60% / % / 53.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
3.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +1.5 (Under)
Over 3.5 24%
Under 3.5 76%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
ELCHE
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Elche)
ElcheElche (+0.5) 0 BetisBetis (-0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

47.9% / 52.1%

Shots (On Goal)

13(1) / 18(9)

Corners

9 / 8

Cards (Y/R)

4/0 - 0/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Elche 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Elche)

Elche By 1 goal

21.1%

Elche By 2+ goals

15.9%

Real Betis By 1 goal

21.1%

Real Betis By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
ELCHE
Book Implied: 1.50
1
BETIS
Book Implied: 2
Simulated Score
1
ELCHE
Book Implied: 1.50
2
BETIS
Book Implied: 2
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
45% Win Prob
A
Sim Real Betis Win
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Elche (+0.5) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Real Betis (-0.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u3.0 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
A
Sim u3.5 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2026 Elche vs Betis 0 - 2
Aug 18, 2025 Elche vs Betis 1 - 1
Feb 24, 2023 Elche vs Betis 2 - 3
Aug 15, 2022 Betis vs Elche 3 - 0
Apr 19, 2022 Betis vs Elche 0 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Goals Conceded (L5) +300.0% more
Elche: 2.0 vs Betis: 8.0
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Elche: 2.0 vs Betis: 1.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Elche: 1.0 vs Betis: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Real Betis Score 1.0 2
Elche Score 1.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Elche (Home) vs Real Betis (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Elche Share: 50.0% Real Betis Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Elche
Real Betis
Elche
Real Betis
ML
33% 4-8
58% 7-5
33% 4-8
42% 5-7
ATS
83% 10-2
58% 7-5
58% 7-5
42% 5-7
TTL
58% 7-5
75% 9-3
83% 10-2
42% 5-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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