Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Ipswich vs Bournemouth Ipswich vs Bournemouth

IPSWICHIPSWICH

3-2-4  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sun, Nov 8 • 9:00 AM ET
Portman Road

BOURNEMOUTHBOURNEMOUTH

3-3-3  |  Away

2
AI Model Win Probability
IPSWICH
35%
DRAW
31%
BOURNEMOUTH
35%
▲ Edge: +23.90% (Ipswich Town)
26% Book Odds: +283
DRAW 26% Book Odds: +280
50% Book Odds: -101
Book Implied: 26.10% / 26.30% / 50.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.8 (Under)
Over 2.75 35%
Under 2.75 65%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
IPSWICH
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Ipswich)
IpswichIpswich (+0.5) 0 BournemouthBournemouth (-0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

55.9% / 44.1%

Shots (On Goal)

10(2) / 15(4)

Corners

2 / 7

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 3/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Ipswich Town 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Ipswich Town)

Ipswich Town By 1 goal

21.1%

Ipswich Town By 2+ goals

15.9%

AFC Bournemouth By 1 goal

21.1%

AFC Bournemouth By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1.10
1
BOURNEMOUTH
Book Implied: 1.60
Simulated Score
1
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1.10
2
BOURNEMOUTH
Book Implied: 1.60
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw
51% Win Prob
A
Sim AFC Bournemouth
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ipswich Town (+0.5)
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim AFC Bournemouth (-0.5)
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u2.75
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim o2.8
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2026 Ipswich vs Bournemouth 1 - 2
Apr 2, 2025 Bournemouth vs Ipswich 1 - 2
Dec 8, 2024 Ipswich vs Bournemouth 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Goals Conceded (L5) +700.0% more
Bournemouth: 1.0 vs Ipswich: 8.0
Wins (L5) +400.0% more
Bournemouth: 5.0 vs Ipswich: 1.0
Losses (L5) +200.0% more
Bournemouth: 0.0 vs Ipswich: 2.0
Goals Scored (L5) +100.0% more
Bournemouth: 14.0 vs Ipswich: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AFC Bournemouth Score 1.0 2
Ipswich Town Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Ipswich Town (Home) vs AFC Bournemouth (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Ipswich Town Share: 50.0% AFC Bournemouth Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Ipswich Town
AFC Bournemouth
Ipswich Town
AFC Bournemouth
ML
44% 4-5
78% 7-2
44% 4-5
44% 4-5
ATS
53% 4-3-1
56% 4-3-1
27% 2-5-1
56% 4-3-1
TTL
18% 1-7
43% 3-4-2
53% 4-4
50% 3-3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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