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C PALACEC PALACE

2-1-6  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sun, Nov 8 • 9:00 AM ET
Selhurst Park

LIVERPOOLLIVERPOOL

4-3-2  |  Away

3
AI Model Win Probability
C PALACE
35%
DRAW
31%
LIVERPOOL
35%
▲ Edge: +33.30% (Crystal Palace)
17% Book Odds: +500
DRAW 22% Book Odds: +355
64% Book Odds: -180
Book Implied: 16.70% / 22% / 64.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
3.25
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +1.3 (Under)
Over 3.25 28%
Under 3.25 72%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
C PALACE
Book Goal Line
+1
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 goals (C Palace)
C PalaceC Palace (+1) 0 LiverpoolLiverpool (-1)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

53.1% / 46.9%

Shots (On Goal)

19(7) / 20(8)

Corners

4 / 7

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 4/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Crystal Palace 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Crystal Palace)

Crystal Palace By 1 goal

21.1%

Crystal Palace By 2+ goals

15.9%

Liverpool By 1 goal

21.1%

Liverpool By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1.10
1
LIVERPOOL
Book Implied: 2.10
Simulated Score
1
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1.10
2
LIVERPOOL
Book Implied: 2.10
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw
37% Win Prob
B
Sim Liverpool
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Crystal Palace (+1)
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Crystal Palace (+1)
Proj Goals: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u3.25
Proj Total: 2.0
B
Sim u3.3
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2026 C Palace vs Liverpool 1 - 3
Sep 27, 2025 C Palace vs Liverpool 2 - 1
May 25, 2025 Liverpool vs C Palace 1 - 1
Oct 5, 2024 C Palace vs Liverpool 0 - 1
Apr 14, 2024 Liverpool vs C Palace 0 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +125.0% more
Liverpool: 9.0 vs C Palace: 4.0
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Liverpool: 2.0 vs C Palace: 1.0
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
C Palace: 2.0 vs Liverpool: 1.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +14.3% more
C Palace: 7.0 vs Liverpool: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Liverpool Score 1.0 3
Crystal Palace Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Crystal Palace (Home) vs Liverpool (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Crystal Palace Share: 50.0% Liverpool Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
ML
56% 5-4
33% 3-6
44% 4-5
56% 5-4
ATS
56% 5-4
89% 8-1
56% 5-4
67% 6-3
TTL
22% 2-7
60% 4-3-1
44% 4-5
47% 3-4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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