Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Getafe vs Sevilla Getafe vs Sevilla

GETAFEGETAFE

2-3-5  |  Home

3
FINAL
Sun, Nov 1 • 8:00 AM ET
Estadio Coliseum

SEVILLASEVILLA

5-2-3  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
GETAFE
35%
DRAW
31%
SEVILLA
35%
▲ Edge: +6.50% (Sevilla)
28% Book Odds: +260
DRAW --
44% Book Odds: +130
Book Implied: 27.80% / % / 43.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 37%
Under 2.5 63%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
GETAFE
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Getafe)
GetafeGetafe (+0.5) 0 SevillaSevilla (-0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

47.0% / 53.0%

Shots (On Goal)

11(5) / 12(4)

Corners

2 / 2

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 4/1

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Getafe 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Getafe)

Getafe By 1 goal

21.1%

Getafe By 2+ goals

15.9%

Sevilla By 1 goal

21.1%

Sevilla By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
GETAFE
Book Implied: 1
1
SEVILLA
Book Implied: 1.50
Simulated Score
0
GETAFE
Book Implied: 1
1
SEVILLA
Book Implied: 1.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
39% Win Prob
A
Sim Sevilla Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Getafe (+0.25) Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Sevilla (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u2.0 Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim u2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 1.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 1, 2026 Getafe vs Sevilla 3 - 1
Feb 22, 2026 Getafe vs Sevilla 0 - 1
Aug 25, 2025 Sevilla vs Getafe 1 - 2
Feb 1, 2025 Getafe vs Sevilla 0 - 0
Sep 14, 2024 Sevilla vs Getafe 1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Sevilla: 2.0 vs Getafe: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5) +42.9% more
Sevilla: 10.0 vs Getafe: 7.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +30.0% more
Sevilla: 10.0 vs Getafe: 13.0
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Getafe: 2.0 vs Sevilla: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Sevilla Score 1.0 1
Getafe Score 1.0 3
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Getafe (Home) vs Sevilla (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Getafe Share: 50.0% Sevilla Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Getafe
Sevilla
Getafe
Sevilla
ML
64% 7-4
82% 9-2
64% 7-4
45% 5-6
ATS
36% 4-7
64% 7-4
55% 6-5
52% 5-5
TTL
45% 5-6
27% 3-8
36% 4-7
64% 7-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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