Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Betis vs Málaga Betis vs Málaga

BETISBETIS

6-2-2  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Oct 31 • 1:30 PM ET
Estadio La Cartuja

MÁLAGAMÁLAGA

0-5-6  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
BETIS
61%
DRAW
21%
MÁLAGA
18%
▲ Edge: +34% (Málaga)
75% Book Odds: -300
DRAW --
12% Book Odds: +750
Book Implied: 75% / % / 11.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
3.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 3.5 32%
Under 3.5 68%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
+1.0
MÁLAGA
Book Goal Line
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Málaga)
BetisBetis (-1.5) 0 MálagaMálaga (+1.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

58.7% / 41.3%

Shots (On Goal)

23(6) / 10(4)

Corners

10 / 3

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 2/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Málaga +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Málaga)

Real Betis By 1 goal

26.1%

Real Betis By 2+ goals

36.9%

Málaga By 1 goal

11.1%

Málaga By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
BETIS
Book Implied: 2.50
1
MÁLAGA
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
2
BETIS
Book Implied: 2.50
0
MÁLAGA
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Real Betis Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim Real Betis Win
80% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Málaga (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
C
Sim Real Betis (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u3.25 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
B
Sim u3.5 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 31, 2026 Betis vs Málaga 2 - 1
Apr 30, 2018 Betis vs Málaga 2 - 1
Dec 18, 2017 Málaga vs Betis 0 - 2
Feb 28, 2017 Málaga vs Betis 1 - 2
Sep 23, 2016 Betis vs Málaga 1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +200.0% more
Betis: 3.0 vs Málaga: 1.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Betis: 1.0 vs Málaga: 2.0
Goals Scored (L5) +57.1% more
Betis: 11.0 vs Málaga: 7.0
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Málaga: 2.0 vs Betis: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Málaga Score 1.0 1
Real Betis Score 2.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Real Betis (Home) vs Málaga (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Real Betis Share: 66.7% Málaga Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Real Betis
Málaga
Real Betis
Málaga
ML
64% 7-4
64% 7-4
36% 4-7
45% 5-6
ATS
55% 6-5
50% 5-5-1
36% 4-7
50% 5-5-1
TTL
73% 8-3
70% 7-3-1
36% 4-7
71% 7-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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