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SPURSSPURS

2-3-3  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Oct 31 • 1:30 PM ET
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

C PALACEC PALACE

2-1-5  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
61%
DRAW
21%
C PALACE
18%
▲ Edge: +19.40% (Crystal Palace)
59% Book Odds: -141
DRAW 25% Book Odds: +307
20% Book Odds: +398
Book Implied: 58.50% / 24.60% / 20.10%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 (Over)
Over 2.75 65%
Under 2.75 35%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
SPURS
Book Goal Line
-0.75
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 goals (Spurs)
SpursSpurs (-0.8) 0 C PalaceC Palace (+0.8)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

79.4% / 20.6%

Shots (On Goal)

34(9) / 2(1)

Corners

19 / 0

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 1/1

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Tottenham Hotspur -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Tottenham Hotspur)

Tottenham Hotspur By 1 goal

26.1%

Tottenham Hotspur By 2+ goals

36.9%

Crystal Palace By 1 goal

11.1%

Crystal Palace By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
SPURS
Book Implied: 1.80
1
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
2
SPURS
Book Implied: 1.80
0
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tottenham Hotspur Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim Tottenham Hotspur Win
80% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tottenham Hotspur (-0.75) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Tottenham Hotspur (-0.75) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o2.75 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Sim u2.8 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 31, 2026 Spurs vs C Palace 2 - 0
Mar 5, 2026 Spurs vs C Palace 1 - 3
Dec 28, 2025 C Palace vs Spurs 0 - 1
May 11, 2025 Spurs vs C Palace 0 - 2
Oct 27, 2024 C Palace vs Spurs 1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Spurs: 2.0 vs C Palace: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5) +80.0% more
Spurs: 9.0 vs C Palace: 5.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +50.0% more
Spurs: 8.0 vs C Palace: 12.0
Losses (L5) +50.0% more
Spurs: 2.0 vs C Palace: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Crystal Palace Score 1.0 0
Tottenham Hotspur Score 2.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Tottenham Hotspur (Home) vs Crystal Palace (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Tottenham Hotspur Share: 66.7% Crystal Palace Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
ML
33% 3-6
56% 5-4
33% 3-6
44% 4-5
ATS
62% 5-3-1
56% 5-4
38% 3-5-1
56% 5-4
TTL
33% 3-6
22% 2-7
33% 3-6
44% 4-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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