Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Brentford vs Nottm Forest Brentford vs Nottm Forest

BRENTFORDBRENTFORD

2-5-1  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Oct 31 • 11:00 AM ET
Gtech Community Stadium

NOTTM FORESTNOTTM FOREST

1-3-5  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
BRENTFORD
61%
DRAW
21%
NOTTM FOREST
18%
▲ Edge: +28.30% (Nottingham Forest)
47% Book Odds: +112
DRAW 27% Book Odds: +265
28% Book Odds: +258
Book Implied: 47.20% / 27.40% / 27.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 (Over)
Over 2.75 54%
Under 2.75 46%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
BRENTFORD
Book Goal Line
-0.25
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 goals (Brentford)
BrentfordBrentford (-0.2) 0 Nottm ForestNottm Forest (+0.2)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

41.7% / 58.3%

Shots (On Goal)

7(1) / 15(1)

Corners

3 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 3/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Brentford -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Brentford)

Brentford By 1 goal

26.1%

Brentford By 2+ goals

36.9%

Nottingham Forest By 1 goal

11.1%

Nottingham Forest By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
BRENTFORD
Book Implied: 1.50
1
NOTTM FOREST
Book Implied: 1.20
Simulated Score
2
BRENTFORD
Book Implied: 1.50
1
NOTTM FOREST
Book Implied: 1.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Brentford
44% Win Prob
D
Sim Brentford
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Brentford (-0.25)
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Brentford (-0.25)
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o2.75
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim o2.8
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 31, 2026 Brentford vs Nottm Forest 2 - 0
Jan 25, 2026 Brentford vs Nottm Forest 0 - 2
Aug 17, 2025 Nottm Forest vs Brentford 3 - 1
May 1, 2025 Nottm Forest vs Brentford 0 - 2
Dec 21, 2024 Brentford vs Nottm Forest 0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +125.0% more
Brentford: 9.0 vs Nottm Forest: 4.0
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Brentford: 2.0 vs Nottm Forest: 1.0
Losses (L5) +50.0% more
Brentford: 2.0 vs Nottm Forest: 3.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +14.3% more
Nottm Forest: 7.0 vs Brentford: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Nottingham Forest Score 1.0 0
Brentford Score 2.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Brentford (Home) vs Nottingham Forest (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Brentford Share: 66.7% Nottingham Forest Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
ML
62% 5-3
12% 1-7
0% 0-8
12% 1-7
ATS
80% 4-1-2
67% 4-2-1
20% 1-4-2
0% 0-5-2
TTL
50% 3-3-1
25% 2-6
67% 4-2-1
25% 2-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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