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PACHUCAPACHUCA

4-4-6  |  Home

3
FINAL
Sat, Oct 31 • 7:00 PM ET
Estadio Hidalgo

TIGRESTIGRES

3-6-6  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
PACHUCA
61%
DRAW
21%
TIGRES
18%
▲ Edge: +35.40% (Tigres UANL)
52% Book Odds: -107
DRAW 26% Book Odds: +281
25% Book Odds: +296
Book Implied: 51.70% / 26.20% / 25.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 (Over)
Over 2.75 54%
Under 2.75 46%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
PACHUCA
Book Goal Line
-0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Pachuca)
PachucaPachuca (-0.5) 0 TigresTigres (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

49.8% / 50.2%

Shots (On Goal)

21(7) / 10(2)

Corners

5 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 1/1

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Pachuca -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Pachuca)

Pachuca By 1 goal

26.1%

Pachuca By 2+ goals

36.9%

Tigres UANL By 1 goal

11.1%

Tigres UANL By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
PACHUCA
Book Implied: 1.60
1
TIGRES
Book Implied: 1.10
Simulated Score
2
PACHUCA
Book Implied: 1.60
1
TIGRES
Book Implied: 1.10
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pachuca Win
39% Win Prob
D
Sim Pachuca Win
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pachuca (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Pachuca (-0.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o2.75
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim o2.8
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 31, 2026 Pachuca vs Tigres 3 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +16.7% more
Pachuca: 7.0 vs Tigres: 6.0
Losses (L5) +200.0% more
Tigres: 1.0 vs Pachuca: 3.0
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Tigres: 2.0 vs Pachuca: 1.0
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Tigres: 2.0 vs Pachuca: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Tigres UANL Score 1.0 0
Pachuca Score 2.0 3
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Pachuca (Home) vs Tigres UANL (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Pachuca Share: 66.7% Tigres UANL Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Pachuca
Tigres UANL
Pachuca
Tigres UANL
ML
33% 5-10
40% 6-9
36% 5-9
13% 2-13
ATS
67% 9-4-1
67% 9-4-1
31% 4-9-1
38% 5-8-2
TTL
57% 6-5-3
38% 5-9
33% 3-7-3
38% 5-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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