Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Sevilla vs Osasuna Sevilla vs Osasuna

SEVILLASEVILLA

4-2-3  |  Home

2
FINAL
Mon, Oct 26 • 4:00 PM ET
Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium

OSASUNAOSASUNA

3-2-4  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
SEVILLA
61%
DRAW
21%
OSASUNA
18%
▲ Edge: +32.80% (Osasuna)
51% Book Odds: -105
DRAW --
24% Book Odds: +320
Book Implied: 51.20% / % / 23.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 2.5 54%
Under 2.5 46%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
SEVILLA
Book Goal Line
-0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Sevilla)
SevillaSevilla (-0.5) 0 OsasunaOsasuna (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

44.7% / 55.3%

Shots (On Goal)

17(7) / 10(2)

Corners

7 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 2/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Sevilla -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Sevilla)

Sevilla By 1 goal

26.1%

Sevilla By 2+ goals

36.9%

Osasuna By 1 goal

11.1%

Osasuna By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
SEVILLA
Book Implied: 1.50
1
OSASUNA
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
1
SEVILLA
Book Implied: 1.50
0
OSASUNA
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sevilla Win
43% Win Prob
D
Sim Sevilla Win
54% Win Prob
D
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sevilla (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Sevilla (-0.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o2.25 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 1.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 26, 2026 Sevilla vs Osasuna 2 - 0
Nov 8, 2025 Sevilla vs Osasuna 1 - 0
Apr 24, 2025 Osasuna vs Sevilla 1 - 0
Dec 2, 2024 Sevilla vs Osasuna 1 - 1
Jan 28, 2024 Sevilla vs Osasuna 1 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +40.0% more
Sevilla: 7.0 vs Osasuna: 5.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +8.3% more
Osasuna: 12.0 vs Sevilla: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Osasuna Score 1.0 0
Sevilla Score 2.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Sevilla (Home) vs Osasuna (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Sevilla Share: 66.7% Osasuna Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Sevilla
Osasuna
Sevilla
Osasuna
ML
90% 9-1
50% 5-5
50% 5-5
60% 6-4
ATS
70% 7-3
30% 3-7
58% 5-4
70% 7-3
TTL
30% 3-7
60% 6-4
70% 7-3
58% 5-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
No relevant news articles found for this game.