AI Model Win Probability
REAL SOCIEDAD
78%
DRAW
13%
LEVANTE
9%
▲ Edge: +10% (Levante)
64%
Book Odds: -180
DRAW
--
19%
Book Odds: +425
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
3.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 3.5
55%
Under 3.5
45%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-2.0
REAL SOCIEDAD
Book Goal Line
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Real Sociedad)
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
62.1% / 37.9%
Shots (On Goal)
17(3) / 6(2)
Corners
2 / 3
Cards (Y/R)
1/0 - 3/0
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Real Sociedad -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Real Sociedad)
Real Sociedad By 1 goal
21.1%
Real Sociedad By 2+ goals
63.1%
Levante By 1 goal
3.8%
Levante By 2+ goals
1.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Real Sociedad
3
REAL SOCIEDAD
Book Implied: 2.50
Levante
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
Real Sociedad
3
REAL SOCIEDAD
Book Implied: 2.50
Levante
0
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Real Sociedad
Win
71% Win Prob
B
Sim
Real Sociedad
Win
94% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Real Sociedad (-1)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Real Sociedad (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o3.25
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
C
Sim
u3.5
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 25, 2026
Real Sociedad vs Levante
2 - 1
Apr 4, 2026
Real Sociedad vs Levante
2 - 0
Dec 20, 2025
Levante vs Real Sociedad
1 - 1
May 6, 2022
Levante vs Real Sociedad
2 - 1
Aug 28, 2021
Real Sociedad vs Levante
1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5)
+300.0% more
Real Sociedad: 4.0
vs
Levante: 1.0
Losses (L5)
+200.0% more
Real Sociedad: 0.0
vs
Levante: 2.0
Goals Scored (L5)
+80.0% more
Real Sociedad: 18.0
vs
Levante: 10.0
Goals Conceded (L5)
+71.4% more
Real Sociedad: 7.0
vs
Levante: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Levante Score
1.0
1
Real Sociedad Score
3.0
2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Real Sociedad (Home)
vs
Levante (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 4.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
3.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Real Sociedad
Levante
Real Sociedad
Levante
ML
20%
2-8
80%
8-2
70%
7-3
40%
4-6
ATS
40%
4-6
70%
7-3
70%
7-3
20%
2-8
TTL
20%
2-8
40%
4-6
60%
6-4
50%
5-5