REAL SOCIEDADREAL SOCIEDAD

6-1-3  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sun, Oct 25 • 1:30 PM ET
Reale Arena

LEVANTELEVANTE

2-4-4  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
REAL SOCIEDAD
78%
DRAW
13%
LEVANTE
9%
▲ Edge: +10% (Levante)
64% Book Odds: -180
DRAW --
19% Book Odds: +425
Book Implied: 64.30% / % / 19%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
3.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 3.5 55%
Under 3.5 45%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-2.0
REAL SOCIEDAD
Book Goal Line
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Real Sociedad)
Real SociedadReal Sociedad (-1.5) 0 LevanteLevante (+1.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

62.1% / 37.9%

Shots (On Goal)

17(3) / 6(2)

Corners

2 / 3

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 3/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

90.9%

Cover

9.1%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Real Sociedad -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Real Sociedad)

Real Sociedad By 1 goal

21.1%

Real Sociedad By 2+ goals

63.1%

Levante By 1 goal

3.8%

Levante By 2+ goals

1.0%

AI Model Projected Score
3
REAL SOCIEDAD
Book Implied: 2.50
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
3
REAL SOCIEDAD
Book Implied: 2.50
0
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Real Sociedad Win
71% Win Prob
B
Sim Real Sociedad Win
94% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Real Sociedad (-1) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Real Sociedad (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o3.25 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
C
Sim u3.5 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 25, 2026 Real Sociedad vs Levante 2 - 1
Apr 4, 2026 Real Sociedad vs Levante 2 - 0
Dec 20, 2025 Levante vs Real Sociedad 1 - 1
May 6, 2022 Levante vs Real Sociedad 2 - 1
Aug 28, 2021 Real Sociedad vs Levante 1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +300.0% more
Real Sociedad: 4.0 vs Levante: 1.0
Losses (L5) +200.0% more
Real Sociedad: 0.0 vs Levante: 2.0
Goals Scored (L5) +80.0% more
Real Sociedad: 18.0 vs Levante: 10.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +71.4% more
Real Sociedad: 7.0 vs Levante: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Levante Score 1.0 1
Real Sociedad Score 3.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 77.5% Draw: 13.1% Away Win: 9.4%
Real Sociedad (Home) vs Levante (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 76.2% Under 2.5: 23.8%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 4.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Real Sociedad Share: 75.0% Levante Share: 25.0%
AI Projected Score 3.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Real Sociedad
Levante
Real Sociedad
Levante
ML
20% 2-8
80% 8-2
70% 7-3
40% 4-6
ATS
40% 4-6
70% 7-3
70% 7-3
20% 2-8
TTL
20% 2-8
40% 4-6
60% 6-4
50% 5-5
Contextual Game News
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