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CELTA VIGOCELTA VIGO

2-5-2  |  Home

0
FINAL
Sun, Oct 25 • 11:15 AM ET
Balaidos

BETISBETIS

6-1-2  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
CELTA VIGO
35%
DRAW
31%
BETIS
35%
▲ Edge: +11.50% (Real Betis)
36% Book Odds: +175
DRAW --
39% Book Odds: +160
Book Implied: 36.40% / % / 38.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 46%
Under 2.5 54%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
BETIS
Book Goal Line
-0.5
Book Line
Celta VigoCelta Vigo (+0.5) 0 BetisBetis (-0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

43.5% / 56.5%

Shots (On Goal)

12(4) / 15(2)

Corners

3 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Real Betis 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Real Betis)

Celta Vigo By 1 goal

21.1%

Celta Vigo By 2+ goals

15.9%

Real Betis By 1 goal

21.1%

Real Betis By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
CELTA VIGO
Book Implied: 1
1
BETIS
Book Implied: 1.50
Simulated Score
1
CELTA VIGO
Book Implied: 1
2
BETIS
Book Implied: 1.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
43% Win Prob
A
Sim Real Betis Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Real Betis (-0) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim Real Betis (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
D
Sim o2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 25, 2026 Celta Vigo vs Betis 0 - 0
Mar 15, 2026 Betis vs Celta Vigo 1 - 1
Aug 27, 2025 Celta Vigo vs Betis 1 - 1
Feb 8, 2025 Celta Vigo vs Betis 3 - 2
Nov 10, 2024 Betis vs Celta Vigo 2 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +20.0% more
Betis: 12.0 vs Celta Vigo: 10.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +150.0% more
Celta Vigo: 4.0 vs Betis: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Real Betis Score 1.0 0
Celta Vigo Score 1.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Celta Vigo (Home) vs Real Betis (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Celta Vigo Share: 50.0% Real Betis Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
ML
50% 5-5
60% 6-4
20% 2-8
30% 3-7
ATS
32% 3-6
60% 6-4
30% 3-7
40% 4-6
TTL
60% 6-4
70% 7-3
40% 4-6
30% 3-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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